NBA
Friday, October 30 at 07:30 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
CHI
Chicago Bulls
Away
1-5
(1-3 Away)
Form
L
W
L
L
L
Projected Final Score
110.7
—
123.6
BOS
Boston Celtics
Home
4-1
(4-0 Home)
Form
W
W
W
- Spread
-
CHI +15.0 (-110)BOS -15.0 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 235.5 (-110)Simulated 234.3
- Moneyline
-
CHI +585BOS -890
Simulated Outcome Probability
Chicago Bulls
14.9%
Boston Celtics
85.1%
+0.3% edge at +585
No edge at -890
Our 10,000 iterations project the Boston Celtics to win outright in 85.1% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: CHI +15.0 / BOS -15.0
CHI covers
(-110)
+4.5% Edge
56.9%
BOS covers
(-110)
43.1%
Total
O/U: 235.5
OVER
(-110)
47.4%
UNDER
(-110)
+0.2% Edge
52.6%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Rotation Scoring: CHI rotation carries 116.9 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Powell, Giddey, Wilson) | BOS rotation carries 108.2 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Tatum, George, White).
- • 🛡️ Team Defense: CHI allows 122.3/game | BOS allows 107.5/game (blended with last season and regressed toward league average).
- • 📐 Model Line: BOS by 7.5, total 227.8 before the market blend, including 2.2 points of home court.
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 70% toward the posted spread and 85% toward the total (BOS -15.0, total 235.5).
- • ❌ Injury: CHI - Nic Claxton is Out; his 27.0 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: BOS - Devin Carter is Out; his 15.7 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Boston Celtics winning in 85.1% of trials. Projected score: CHI 111 - BOS 124. Value: CHI +15.0 (-110), +4.5 pts.
Top Players (Per Game)
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Chicago Bulls
Boston Celtics
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Chicago Bulls
L
vs New York Knicks
127 - 133
|
Oct 28, 2026
L
@ Boston Celtics
99 - 134
|
Oct 26, 2026
L
vs Washington Wizards
120 - 124
|
Oct 24, 2026
W
@ Milwaukee Bucks
132 - 125
|
Oct 23, 2026
L
@ Toronto Raptors
92 - 135
|
Oct 21, 2026
Boston Celtics
W
vs Brooklyn Nets
125 - 124
|
Oct 27, 2026
W
vs Chicago Bulls
134 - 99
|
Oct 26, 2026
W
vs New York Knicks
107 - 103
|
Oct 23, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Boston Celtics defeated Chicago Bulls
134 - 99
|
Oct 26, 2026