NHL
Friday, October 30 at 06:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
NJD
New Jersey Devils
Away
9-5-0
(3-3-0 Away)
Form
W
W
W
W
L
Projected Final Score
3.04
—
3.22
VGK
Vegas Golden Knights
Home
9-5-1
(6-3-0 Home)
Form
W
L
L
L
W
- Spread
-
NJD +1.0 (-225)VGK -1.0 (+180)
- Total
-
Posted 6.0 (-105)Simulated 6.3
- Moneyline
-
NJD -105VGK -110
Simulated Outcome Probability
New Jersey Devils
46.5%
Vegas Golden Knights
53.5%
No edge at -105
+1.1% edge at -110
Our 10,000 iterations project the Vegas Golden Knights to win outright in 53.5% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: NJD +1.0 / VGK -1.0
NJD covers
(-225)
59.6%
VGK covers
(+180)
+4.7% Edge
40.4%
Total
O/U: 6.0
OVER
(-105)
+0.3% Edge
51.5%
UNDER
(-115)
48.5%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: NJD Connor Hellebuyck (.896 projected SV%) vs VGK Carter Hart (.894 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: NJD dresses 2.99 goals/game of talent (led by Hughes, Bratt, Hischier) | VGK dresses 3.05 goals/game of talent (led by Eichel, Stone, Marner).
- • 📐 Model Rates: NJD 2.9 vs VGK 3.29 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.1% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (7.0%), 3-2 (6.6%), 3-4 (5.9%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (VGK 50.6% no-vig, Over 6.0 48.9%).
- • ❌ Injury: VGK - Parker Wotherspoon (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Vegas Golden Knights winning in 53.5% of trials. Projected score: NJD 3.04 - VGK 3.22. Value: VGK -1.0 puck line (+180), +4.7 pts.
Starting Goalies
New Jersey Devils
Connor Hellebuyck
- Proj SV%
- .895
- Starts
- 38
- Shots Faced
- 1020
Vegas Golden Knights
Adin Hill
- Proj SV%
- .891
- Starts
- 24
- Shots Faced
- 561
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
New Jersey Devils
Vegas Golden Knights
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
New Jersey Devils
L
@ Colorado Avalanche
2 - 5
|
Oct 28, 2026
W
@ Dallas Stars
5 - 1
|
Oct 27, 2026
W
vs Los Angeles Kings
3 - 1
|
Oct 24, 2026
W
vs Anaheim Ducks
4 - 1
|
Oct 22, 2026
W
vs Colorado Avalanche
4 - 3
|
Oct 20, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights
W
vs Ottawa Senators
4 - 1
|
Oct 27, 2026
L
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
1 - 2
|
Oct 24, 2026
L
@ St. Louis Blues
2 - 6
|
Oct 22, 2026
L
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
2 - 6
|
Oct 20, 2026
W
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
6 - 2
|
Oct 17, 2026