NHL Saturday, October 31 at 01:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
CHI

Chicago Blackhawks

Away 4-9-0 (0-5-0 Away)
L L L W L
Projected Final Score
2.62 — 3.71
BOS

Boston Bruins

Home 9-4-1 (5-1-0 Home)
L W W L L
Spread
CHI +1.5 (-130)
BOS -1.5 (+110)
Total
Posted 6.0 (-105)
Simulated 6.3
Moneyline
CHI +195
BOS -235

Simulated Outcome Probability

Chicago Blackhawks
32.9%
Boston Bruins
67.1%
No edge at +195
No edge at -235

Our 10,000 iterations project the Boston Bruins to win outright in 67.1% of simulated game-runs.

Simulator Cover Probability

Spread Line: CHI +1.5 / BOS -1.5
CHI covers (-130) 55.4%
BOS covers (+110) 44.6%
Total O/U: 6.0
OVER (-105) +2.1% Edge 53.3%
UNDER (-115) 46.7%

Model Simulation Deciders

  • • 🥅 Goaltending: CHI Arvid Soderblom (.890 projected SV%) vs BOS Jeremy Swayman (.901 projected SV%).
  • • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: CHI dresses 2.51 goals/game of talent (led by Bedard, Kane, Bertuzzi) | BOS dresses 3.07 goals/game of talent (led by Pastrnak, McAvoy, Geekie).
  • • 📐 Model Rates: CHI 2.62 vs BOS 3.63 regulation goals before the market blend.
  • • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 19.1% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (7.2%), 3-4 (6.4%), 3-2 (4.9%).
  • • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (BOS 67.4% no-vig, Over 6.0 48.9%).

VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the Boston Bruins winning in 67.1% of trials. Projected score: CHI 2.62 - BOS 3.71. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.

Starting Goalies

Chicago Blackhawks

Arvid Soderblom

Proj SV%
.890
Starts
16
Shots Faced
514
Boston Bruins

Jeremy Swayman

Proj SV%
.901
Starts
43
Shots Faced
1240

Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.

Top Skaters (Per Game)

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Chicago Blackhawks

Boston Bruins

Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)

Chicago Blackhawks

L @ Detroit Red Wings
1 - 4 | Oct 29, 2026
W vs Los Angeles Kings
2 - 1 | Oct 27, 2026
L vs Florida Panthers
2 - 3 | Oct 25, 2026
L vs Montréal Canadiens
1 - 4 | Oct 23, 2026
L vs Dallas Stars
0 - 4 | Oct 17, 2026

Boston Bruins

L @ St. Louis Blues
1 - 4 | Oct 29, 2026
L @ Carolina Hurricanes
1 - 2 | Oct 27, 2026
W vs San Jose Sharks
6 - 4 | Oct 24, 2026
W vs Nashville Predators
6 - 0 | Oct 22, 2026
L @ Dallas Stars
2 - 3 | Oct 20, 2026