NHL
Saturday, October 31 at 01:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
STL
St. Louis Blues
Away
6-6-1
(2-4-0 Away)
Form
W
W
L
L
W
Projected Final Score
2.97
—
2.86
DET
Detroit Red Wings
Home
6-4-3
(4-3-1 Home)
Form
L
W
L
W
W
- Spread
-
STL -1.5 (+210)DET +1.5 (-265)
- Total
-
Posted 5.5 (-115)Simulated 5.8
- Moneyline
-
STL -120DET +100
Simulated Outcome Probability
St. Louis Blues
52.1%
Detroit Red Wings
47.9%
No edge at -120
No edge at +100
Our 10,000 iterations project the St. Louis Blues to win outright in 52.1% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: STL -1.5 / DET +1.5
STL covers
(+210)
29.6%
DET covers
(-265)
70.4%
Total
O/U: 5.5
OVER
(-115)
50.2%
UNDER
(-105)
49.8%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: STL Joel Hofer (.902 projected SV%) vs DET John Gibson (.896 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: STL dresses 2.58 goals/game of talent (led by Thomas, Holloway, Snuggerud) | DET dresses 2.37 goals/game of talent (led by DeBrincat, Raymond, Arvidsson).
- • 📐 Model Rates: STL 2.7 vs DET 2.63 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 21.3% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (7.1%), 3-2 (6.5%), 4-3 (6.1%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (DET 47.8% no-vig, Over 5.5 51.1%).
- • ❌ Injury: STL - Dillon Dube (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: STL - Tyler Tucker (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: STL - Ross Johnston (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: DET - Marco Kasper (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: DET - Mason Appleton (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: DET - Albert Johansson (D) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the St. Louis Blues winning in 52.1% of trials. Projected score: STL 2.97 - DET 2.86. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
St. Louis Blues
Joel Hofer
- Proj SV%
- .902
- Starts
- 35
- Shots Faced
- 1009
Detroit Red Wings
John Gibson
- Proj SV%
- .896
- Starts
- 43
- Shots Faced
- 1084
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
St. Louis Blues
Detroit Red Wings
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
St. Louis Blues
W
vs Boston Bruins
4 - 1
|
Oct 29, 2026
L
vs Montréal Canadiens
0 - 2
|
Oct 27, 2026
L
vs Carolina Hurricanes
0 - 4
|
Oct 24, 2026
W
vs Vegas Golden Knights
6 - 2
|
Oct 22, 2026
W
vs Winnipeg Jets
2 - 1
|
Oct 20, 2026
Detroit Red Wings
W
vs Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 1
|
Oct 29, 2026
W
@ Edmonton Oilers
4 - 3
|
Oct 26, 2026
L
@ Calgary Flames
1 - 4
|
Oct 24, 2026
W
@ Vancouver Canucks
5 - 2
|
Oct 22, 2026
L
@ Seattle Kraken
3 - 4
|
Oct 20, 2026