NBA
Saturday, October 31 at 03:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
POR
Portland Trail Blazers
Away
3-1
(2-0 Away)
Form
W
W
W
L
Projected Final Score
119.2
—
113.5
UTAH
Utah Jazz
Home
1-4
(1-3 Home)
Form
L
W
L
L
L
- Spread
-
POR -6.5 (-110)UTAH +6.5 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 232.0 (-110)Simulated 232.7
- Moneyline
-
POR -245UTAH +200
Simulated Outcome Probability
Portland Trail Blazers
67.9%
Utah Jazz
32.1%
No edge at -245
No edge at +200
Our 10,000 iterations project the Portland Trail Blazers to win outright in 67.9% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: POR -6.5 / UTAH +6.5
POR covers
(-110)
47.3%
UTAH covers
(-110)
+0.3% Edge
52.7%
Total
O/U: 232.0
OVER
(-110)
51.1%
UNDER
(-110)
48.9%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Rotation Scoring: POR rotation carries 115.3 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Lillard, Avdija, Holiday) | UTAH rotation carries 115.5 pts/game of scoring talent (led by George, Bailey, Markkanen).
- • 🛡️ Team Defense: POR allows 115.6/game | UTAH allows 125.5/game (blended with last season and regressed toward league average).
- • 📐 Model Line: POR by 3.6, total 237.3 before the market blend, including 2.2 points of home court.
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 70% toward the posted spread and 85% toward the total (UTAH +6.5, total 232.0).
- • ❌ Injury: POR - Shaedon Sharpe is Out; his 29.4 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: POR - Ja Morant is Out; his 27.9 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ⚠️ Questionable: POR - Robert Williams III is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 16.9 minutes.
- • ⚠️ Questionable: UTAH - Lauri Markkanen is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 31.8 minutes.
- • ❌ Injury: UTAH - Jaren Jackson Jr. is Out; his 29.1 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: UTAH - Jusuf Nurkic is Out; his 23.6 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: UTAH - Blake Hinson is Out; his 18.4 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Portland Trail Blazers winning in 67.9% of trials. Projected score: POR 119 - UTAH 114. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Top Players (Per Game)
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Portland Trail Blazers
Utah Jazz
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Portland Trail Blazers
L
vs Memphis Grizzlies
103 - 124
|
Oct 29, 2026
W
@ Los Angeles Lakers
136 - 129
|
Oct 27, 2026
W
@ Sacramento Kings
128 - 120
|
Oct 23, 2026
W
vs Phoenix Suns
124 - 83
|
Oct 21, 2026
Utah Jazz
L
vs San Antonio Spurs
111 - 117
|
Oct 28, 2026
L
vs Memphis Grizzlies
105 - 110
|
Oct 26, 2026
L
vs Los Angeles Lakers
123 - 132
|
Oct 25, 2026
W
vs New Orleans Pelicans
120 - 119
|
Oct 23, 2026
L
@ Memphis Grizzlies
103 - 123
|
Oct 21, 2026