NBA Saturday, October 31 at 06:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
PHI

Philadelphia 76ers

Away 5-1 (2-0 Away)
W W L W W
Projected Final Score
110.1 — 107.2
CHA

Charlotte Hornets

Home 3-3 (2-1 Home)
L W W L L
Spread
PHI -1.5 (-110)
CHA +1.5 (-110)
Total
Posted 215.5 (-110)
Simulated 217.3
Moneyline
PHI -120
CHA +100

Simulated Outcome Probability

Philadelphia 76ers
59.4%
Charlotte Hornets
40.6%
+4.9% edge at -120
No edge at +100

Our 10,000 iterations project the Philadelphia 76ers to win outright in 59.4% of simulated game-runs.

Simulator Cover Probability

Spread Line: PHI -1.5 / CHA +1.5
PHI covers (-110) +3.8% Edge 56.2%
CHA covers (-110) 43.8%
Total O/U: 215.5
OVER (-110) +1.0% Edge 53.4%
UNDER (-110) 46.6%

Model Simulation Deciders

  • • 🏀 Rotation Scoring: PHI rotation carries 131.7 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Maxey, Embiid, James) | CHA rotation carries 101.5 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Miller, Allen, Reid).
  • • 🛡️ Team Defense: PHI allows 114.9/game | CHA allows 110.6/game (blended with last season and regressed toward league average).
  • • 📐 Model Line: PHI by 7.1, total 228.3 before the market blend, including 2.2 points of home court.
  • • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 70% toward the posted spread and 85% toward the total (CHA +1.5, total 215.5).
  • • 😴 Back-to-Back: PHI played last night; 1.5 points of margin taken off.
  • • 😴 Back-to-Back: CHA played last night; 1.5 points of margin taken off.
  • • ⚠️ Questionable: PHI - Jaylen Brown is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 33.8 minutes.
  • • ❌ Injury: PHI - Dominick Barlow is Out; his 20.8 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
  • • ❌ Injury: CHA - Kon Knueppel is Out; his 30.6 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
  • • ❌ Injury: CHA - Coby White is Out; his 27.8 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
  • • ❌ Injury: CHA - Grant Williams is Out; his 20.8 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.

VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the Philadelphia 76ers winning in 59.4% of trials. Projected score: PHI 110 - CHA 107. Value: PHI moneyline (-120), +4.9 pts; PHI -1.5 (-110), +3.8 pts.

Top Players (Per Game)

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Philadelphia 76ers

Charlotte Hornets

Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)

Philadelphia 76ers

W vs New York Knicks
98 - 93 | Oct 30, 2026
W @ Indiana Pacers
114 - 109 | Oct 28, 2026
L vs Detroit Pistons
93 - 106 | Oct 25, 2026
W vs Milwaukee Bucks
127 - 116 | Oct 24, 2026
W vs Cleveland Cavaliers
114 - 106 | Oct 22, 2026

Charlotte Hornets

L @ Washington Wizards
79 - 95 | Oct 30, 2026
L @ Detroit Pistons
89 - 97 | Oct 28, 2026
W vs Washington Wizards
110 - 103 | Oct 26, 2026
W vs Miami Heat
115 - 110 | Oct 24, 2026
L vs Atlanta Hawks
81 - 128 | Oct 23, 2026