NHL
Sunday, November 01 at 03:30 PM EST
10,000 Sim Trials Run
MIN
Minnesota Wild
Away
9-3-3
(5-3-2 Away)
Form
L
W
W
W
L
Projected Final Score
3.17
—
3.66
WSH
Washington Capitals
Home
8-4-0
(6-2-0 Home)
Form
W
L
W
W
W
- Spread
-
MIN N/A (-110)WSH N/A (-110)
- Total
-
Posted N/A (-110)Simulated 6.8
- Moneyline
-
MIN N/AWSH N/A
Simulated Outcome Probability
Minnesota Wild
42.3%
Washington Capitals
57.8%
No edge at N/A
No edge at N/A
Our 10,000 iterations project the Washington Capitals to win outright in 57.8% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: N/A
MIN covers
(-110)
+11.3% Edge
63.7%
WSH covers
(-110)
36.3%
Total
O/U:
OVER
(-110)
+2.5% Edge
54.9%
UNDER
(-110)
45.1%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: MIN Jesper Wallstedt (.903 projected SV%) vs WSH Charlie Lindgren (.892 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: MIN dresses 2.82 goals/game of talent (led by Kaprizov, Hughes, Boldy) | WSH dresses 3.41 goals/game of talent (led by Tuch, Strome, Wilson).
- • 📐 Model Rates: MIN 3.01 vs WSH 3.47 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 19.2% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (6.0%), 3-4 (6.0%), 4-3 (5.6%).
- • 📭 No Market Yet: Graded against a standard -1.5 home puck line and 6.5 total until books post this game.
- • ❌ Injury: MIN - Brock Faber (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: MIN - Jared Spurgeon (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: MIN - Nick Foligno (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: WSH - Rasmus Sandin (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: WSH - Vincent Desharnais (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Washington Capitals winning in 57.8% of trials. Projected score: MIN 3.17 - WSH 3.66.
Starting Goalies
Minnesota Wild
Jesper Wallstedt
- Proj SV%
- .903
- Starts
- 33
- Shots Faced
- 947
Washington Capitals
Charlie Lindgren
- Proj SV%
- .892
- Starts
- 16
- Shots Faced
- 468
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Minnesota Wild
Washington Capitals
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Minnesota Wild
L
vs New York Islanders
3 - 4
|
Oct 29, 2026
W
@ Utah Mammoth
3 - 1
|
Oct 27, 2026
W
@ Vancouver Canucks
4 - 2
|
Oct 25, 2026
W
@ Seattle Kraken
5 - 1
|
Oct 24, 2026
L
@ Calgary Flames
1 - 2
|
Oct 22, 2026
Washington Capitals
W
@ Nashville Predators
4 - 3
|
Oct 29, 2026
W
vs Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 2
|
Oct 28, 2026
W
vs Buffalo Sabres
4 - 3
|
Oct 24, 2026
L
vs Los Angeles Kings
2 - 5
|
Oct 20, 2026
W
vs New Jersey Devils
4 - 2
|
Oct 17, 2026