NHL
Monday, November 02 at 07:00 PM EST
10,000 Sim Trials Run
VGK
Vegas Golden Knights
Away
9-5-1
(3-2-1 Away)
Form
L
L
L
W
L
Projected Final Score
3.15
—
3.39
BOS
Boston Bruins
Home
9-4-1
(5-1-0 Home)
Form
L
W
W
L
L
- Spread
-
VGK N/A (-110)BOS N/A (-110)
- Total
-
Posted N/A (-110)Simulated 6.5
- Moneyline
-
VGK N/ABOS N/A
Simulated Outcome Probability
Vegas Golden Knights
46.0%
Boston Bruins
54.0%
No edge at N/A
No edge at N/A
Our 10,000 iterations project the Boston Bruins to win outright in 54.0% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: N/A
VGK covers
(-110)
+15.6% Edge
68.0%
BOS covers
(-110)
32.0%
Total
O/U:
OVER
(-110)
50.7%
UNDER
(-110)
49.3%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: VGK Carter Hart (.894 projected SV%) vs BOS Jeremy Swayman (.901 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: VGK dresses 3.02 goals/game of talent (led by Eichel, Stone, Marner) | BOS dresses 3.07 goals/game of talent (led by Pastrnak, McAvoy, Geekie).
- • 📐 Model Rates: VGK 3.01 vs BOS 3.21 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.5% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (6.5%), 3-4 (6.4%), 4-3 (6.0%).
- • 📭 No Market Yet: Graded against a standard -1.5 home puck line and 6.5 total until books post this game.
- • ❌ Injury: VGK - Parker Wotherspoon (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Boston Bruins winning in 54.0% of trials. Projected score: VGK 3.15 - BOS 3.39.
Starting Goalies
Vegas Golden Knights
Carter Hart
- Proj SV%
- .894
- Starts
- 19
- Shots Faced
- 451
Boston Bruins
Jeremy Swayman
- Proj SV%
- .901
- Starts
- 43
- Shots Faced
- 1240
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Vegas Golden Knights
Boston Bruins
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Vegas Golden Knights
L
vs New Jersey Devils
2 - 5
|
Oct 30, 2026
W
vs Ottawa Senators
4 - 1
|
Oct 27, 2026
L
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
1 - 2
|
Oct 24, 2026
L
@ St. Louis Blues
2 - 6
|
Oct 22, 2026
L
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
2 - 6
|
Oct 20, 2026
Boston Bruins
L
@ St. Louis Blues
1 - 4
|
Oct 29, 2026
L
@ Carolina Hurricanes
1 - 2
|
Oct 27, 2026
W
vs San Jose Sharks
6 - 4
|
Oct 24, 2026
W
vs Nashville Predators
6 - 0
|
Oct 22, 2026
L
@ Dallas Stars
2 - 3
|
Oct 20, 2026