NHL
Tuesday, November 03 at 07:00 PM EST
10,000 Sim Trials Run
UTA
Utah Mammoth
Away
9-5-0
(5-3-0 Away)
Form
W
L
W
L
W
Projected Final Score
3.67
—
3.3
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
Home
8-6-2
(4-3-1 Home)
Form
W
W
L
L
W
- Spread
-
UTA N/A (-110)TOR N/A (-110)
- Total
-
Posted N/A (-110)Simulated 7.0
- Moneyline
-
UTA N/ATOR N/A
Simulated Outcome Probability
Utah Mammoth
55.5%
Toronto Maple Leafs
44.5%
No edge at N/A
No edge at N/A
Our 10,000 iterations project the Utah Mammoth to win outright in 55.5% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: N/A
UTA covers
(-110)
34.8%
TOR covers
(-110)
+12.9% Edge
65.3%
Total
O/U:
OVER
(-110)
+4.2% Edge
56.6%
UNDER
(-110)
43.4%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: UTA Karel Vejmelka (.894 projected SV%) vs TOR Sergei Bobrovsky (.888 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: UTA dresses 3.11 goals/game of talent (led by Keller, Schmaltz, Guenther) | TOR dresses 2.91 goals/game of talent (led by Nylander, Matthews, Raddysh).
- • 📐 Model Rates: UTA 3.52 vs TOR 3.15 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 19.6% of trials. Most common finals: 3-2 (6.0%), 3-4 (5.8%), 4-3 (5.6%).
- • 📭 No Market Yet: Graded against a standard +1.5 home puck line and 6.5 total until books post this game.
- • ❌ Injury: UTA - John Marino (D) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: UTA - Michael Carcone (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: UTA - Maveric Lamoureux (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: TOR - Kirill Marchenko (R) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: TOR - John Tavares (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: TOR - Nick Blankenburg (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Utah Mammoth winning in 55.5% of trials. Projected score: UTA 3.67 - TOR 3.3.
Starting Goalies
Utah Mammoth
Karel Vejmelka
- Proj SV%
- .894
- Starts
- 48
- Shots Faced
- 1237
Toronto Maple Leafs
Sergei Bobrovsky
- Proj SV%
- .888
- Starts
- 41
- Shots Faced
- 1038
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Utah Mammoth
Toronto Maple Leafs
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Utah Mammoth
W
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 3
|
Oct 29, 2026
L
vs Minnesota Wild
1 - 3
|
Oct 27, 2026
W
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
5 - 4
|
Oct 24, 2026
L
@ Seattle Kraken
3 - 5
|
Oct 22, 2026
W
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
5 - 4
|
Oct 19, 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs
W
@ Vancouver Canucks
4 - 2
|
Oct 31, 2026
L
@ Seattle Kraken
4 - 5
|
Oct 28, 2026
L
@ Calgary Flames
2 - 5
|
Oct 26, 2026
W
@ Edmonton Oilers
7 - 2
|
Oct 24, 2026
W
vs New York Rangers
5 - 4
|
Oct 22, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Utah Mammoth defeated Toronto Maple Leafs
5 - 4
|
Oct 13, 2026