NHL
Tuesday, November 03 at 07:00 PM EST
10,000 Sim Trials Run
WPG
Winnipeg Jets
Away
4-7-3
(2-3-2 Away)
Form
L
L
L
L
L
Projected Final Score
2.74
—
3.48
MTL
Montréal Canadiens
Home
9-3-2
(4-2-1 Home)
Form
W
W
W
W
W
- Spread
-
WPG N/A (-110)MTL N/A (-110)
- Total
-
Posted N/A (-110)Simulated 6.2
- Moneyline
-
WPG N/AMTL N/A
Simulated Outcome Probability
Winnipeg Jets
37.8%
Montréal Canadiens
62.2%
No edge at N/A
No edge at N/A
Our 10,000 iterations project the Montréal Canadiens to win outright in 62.2% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: N/A
WPG covers
(-110)
+8.3% Edge
60.7%
MTL covers
(-110)
39.3%
Total
O/U:
OVER
(-110)
45.0%
UNDER
(-110)
+2.6% Edge
55.0%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: WPG Stuart Skinner (.893 projected SV%) vs MTL Jacob Fowler (.901 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: WPG dresses 2.52 goals/game of talent (led by Scheifele, Connor, Vilardi) | MTL dresses 2.89 goals/game of talent (led by Caufield, Hutson, Slafkovský).
- • 📐 Model Rates: WPG 2.58 vs MTL 3.3 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 19.8% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (7.4%), 3-4 (6.2%), 3-2 (6.0%).
- • 📭 No Market Yet: Graded against a standard -1.5 home puck line and 6.5 total until books post this game.
- • ❌ Injury: WPG - Josh Morrissey (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: WPG - Vladislav Namestnikov (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: MTL - Nick Suzuki (C) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: MTL - Ivan Demidov (R) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: MTL - Mike Matheson (D) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Montréal Canadiens winning in 62.2% of trials. Projected score: WPG 2.74 - MTL 3.48.
Starting Goalies
Winnipeg Jets
Stuart Skinner
- Proj SV%
- .893
- Starts
- 39
- Shots Faced
- 1017
Montréal Canadiens
Jacob Fowler
- Proj SV%
- .901
- Starts
- 18
- Shots Faced
- 489
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Winnipeg Jets
Montréal Canadiens
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Winnipeg Jets
L
@ Florida Panthers
2 - 5
|
Oct 30, 2026
L
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
4 - 6
|
Oct 29, 2026
L
vs Florida Panthers
1 - 5
|
Oct 27, 2026
L
vs Montréal Canadiens
1 - 2
|
Oct 25, 2026
L
@ Dallas Stars
2 - 3
|
Oct 22, 2026
Montréal Canadiens
W
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
5 - 4
|
Oct 31, 2026
W
@ Dallas Stars
5 - 2
|
Oct 29, 2026
W
@ St. Louis Blues
2 - 0
|
Oct 27, 2026
W
@ Winnipeg Jets
2 - 1
|
Oct 25, 2026
W
@ Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 1
|
Oct 23, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Montréal Canadiens defeated Winnipeg Jets
2 - 1
|
Oct 25, 2026