NBA
Wednesday, November 04 at 07:00 PM EST
10,000 Sim Trials Run
PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
Away
8-1
(4-0 Away)
Form
L
W
W
W
W
Projected Final Score
110.3
—
111.0
DET
Detroit Pistons
Home
6-2
(2-1 Home)
Form
W
L
W
W
W
- Spread
-
PHI +2.5 (-110)DET -2.5 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 219.5 (-110)Simulated 221.3
- Moneyline
-
PHI +115DET -135
Simulated Outcome Probability
Philadelphia 76ers
47.0%
Detroit Pistons
53.0%
+0.5% edge at +115
No edge at -135
Our 10,000 iterations project the Detroit Pistons to win outright in 53.0% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: PHI +2.5 / DET -2.5
PHI covers
(-110)
+1.8% Edge
54.2%
DET covers
(-110)
45.8%
Total
O/U: 219.5
OVER
(-110)
+0.7% Edge
53.1%
UNDER
(-110)
46.9%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Rotation Scoring: PHI rotation carries 133.8 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Maxey, Brown, Embiid) | DET rotation carries 108.6 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Cunningham, Collins, Robinson).
- • 🛡️ Team Defense: PHI allows 114.5/game | DET allows 108.5/game (blended with last season and regressed toward league average).
- • 📐 Model Line: PHI by 3.7, total 230.0 before the market blend, including 2.2 points of home court.
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 70% toward the posted spread and 85% toward the total (DET -2.5, total 219.5).
- • ❌ Injury: PHI - Dominick Barlow is Out; his 20.8 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: DET - Jalen Duren is Out; his 26.7 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: DET - Isaiah Joe is Out; his 20.7 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Detroit Pistons winning in 53.0% of trials. Projected score: PHI 110 - DET 111. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Top Players (Per Game)
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Philadelphia 76ers
Detroit Pistons
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Philadelphia 76ers
W
vs Chicago Bulls
126 - 107
|
Nov 02, 2026
W
@ Charlotte Hornets
109 - 104
|
Oct 31, 2026
W
vs New York Knicks
98 - 93
|
Oct 30, 2026
W
@ Indiana Pacers
114 - 109
|
Oct 28, 2026
L
vs Detroit Pistons
93 - 106
|
Oct 25, 2026
Detroit Pistons
W
@ Charlotte Hornets
124 - 91
|
Nov 02, 2026
W
@ Brooklyn Nets
110 - 94
|
Oct 30, 2026
W
vs Charlotte Hornets
97 - 89
|
Oct 28, 2026
L
@ New York Knicks
97 - 111
|
Oct 27, 2026
W
@ Philadelphia 76ers
106 - 93
|
Oct 25, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Detroit Pistons defeated Philadelphia 76ers
106 - 93
|
Oct 25, 2026