NHL
Wednesday, November 04 at 07:30 PM EST
10,000 Sim Trials Run
CHI
Chicago Blackhawks
Away
4-11-1
(0-6-1 Away)
Form
L
W
L
L
L
Projected Final Score
2.6
—
3.56
FLA
Florida Panthers
Home
9-5-2
(4-2-0 Home)
Form
L
W
W
W
L
- Spread
-
CHI +1.5 (-125)FLA -1.5 (+105)
- Total
-
Posted 6.0 (-110)Simulated 6.2
- Moneyline
-
CHI +215FLA -260
Simulated Outcome Probability
Chicago Blackhawks
34.2%
Florida Panthers
65.9%
+2.5% edge at +215
No edge at -260
Our 10,000 iterations project the Florida Panthers to win outright in 65.9% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: CHI +1.5 / FLA -1.5
CHI covers
(-125)
+2.0% Edge
57.6%
FLA covers
(+105)
42.4%
Total
O/U: 6.0
OVER
(-110)
49.6%
UNDER
(-110)
50.4%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: CHI Spencer Knight (.897 projected SV%) vs FLA Jacob Markstrom (.891 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: CHI dresses 2.41 goals/game of talent (led by Bedard, Bertuzzi, Nazar) | FLA dresses 2.86 goals/game of talent (led by Tkachuk, Tkachuk, Reinhart).
- • 📐 Model Rates: CHI 2.58 vs FLA 3.24 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.3% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (7.5%), 3-2 (5.7%), 3-4 (5.7%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (FLA 69.5% no-vig, Over 6.0 50.0%).
- • ❌ Injury: CHI - Patrick Kane (R) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: CHI - Bowen Byram (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: FLA - Brad Marchand (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: FLA - Jonah Gadjovich (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: FLA - Aleksander Barkov (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Florida Panthers winning in 65.9% of trials. Projected score: CHI 2.6 - FLA 3.56. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
Chicago Blackhawks
Spencer Knight
- Proj SV%
- .895
- Starts
- 47
- Shots Faced
- 1363
Florida Panthers
Jacob Markstrom
- Proj SV%
- .891
- Starts
- 35
- Shots Faced
- 869
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Chicago Blackhawks
Florida Panthers
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Chicago Blackhawks
L
vs Colorado Avalanche
2 - 5
|
Nov 02, 2026
L
@ Boston Bruins
4 - 5
|
Oct 31, 2026
L
@ Detroit Red Wings
1 - 4
|
Oct 29, 2026
W
vs Los Angeles Kings
2 - 1
|
Oct 27, 2026
L
vs Florida Panthers
2 - 3
|
Oct 25, 2026
Florida Panthers
L
vs Detroit Red Wings
3 - 5
|
Nov 02, 2026
W
vs Winnipeg Jets
5 - 2
|
Oct 30, 2026
W
@ Winnipeg Jets
5 - 1
|
Oct 27, 2026
W
@ Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 2
|
Oct 25, 2026
L
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
0 - 4
|
Oct 22, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Florida Panthers defeated Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 2
|
Oct 25, 2026