VegasSims - 10,000+ Sports Matchup Simulations

NBA Thursday, November 05 at 09:00 PM EST

10,000 Sim Trials Run

ORL

Orlando Magic

Away 2-5 (2-1 Away)

Form

W L W L L

Projected Final Score

112.9 — 117.3

PHX

Home 1-4 (1-1 Home)

Form

L W L L L

Orlando Magic

36.4%

Phoenix Suns

63.7%

No edge at N/A

Our 10,000 iterations project the Phoenix Suns to win outright in 63.7% of simulated game-runs.

Spread Line: N/A

ORL covers (-110) 49.9%

PHX covers (-110) 50.1%

Total O/U:

OVER (-110) 49.9%

UNDER (-110) 50.1%

• 🏀 Rotation Scoring: ORL rotation carries 115.1 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Wagner, Bane, Vucevic) | PHX rotation carries 119.9 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Booker, Green, Bridges).
• 🛡️ Team Defense: ORL allows 115.1/game | PHX allows 112.2/game (blended with last season and regressed toward league average).
• 📐 Model Line: PHX by 4.3, total 230.0 before the market blend, including 2.2 points of home court.
• 📭 No Market Yet: Graded against the model's own line (PHX -4.5, total 230.0) until books post this game.
• 😴 Back-to-Back: PHX played last night; 1.5 points of margin taken off.
• ❌ Injury: ORL - Paolo Banchero is Out; his 33.8 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
• ❌ Injury: ORL - Jalen Suggs is Out; his 27.5 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
• ⚠️ Questionable: ORL - Anthony Black is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 27.2 minutes.
• ❌ Injury: PHX - Mark Williams is Out; his 23.8 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
• ⚠️ Questionable: PHX - Jordan Goodwin is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 21.1 minutes.

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the Phoenix Suns winning in 63.7% of trials. Projected score: ORL 113 - PHX 117.

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