NHL
Thursday, November 05 at 07:00 PM EST
10,000 Sim Trials Run
UTA
Utah Mammoth
Away
9-6-0
(5-4-0 Away)
Form
L
W
L
W
L
Projected Final Score
3.23
—
3.35
MTL
Montréal Canadiens
Home
9-3-2
(4-2-1 Home)
Form
W
W
W
W
W
- Spread
-
UTA N/A (-110)MTL N/A (-110)
- Total
-
Posted N/A (-110)Simulated 6.6
- Moneyline
-
UTA N/AMTL N/A
Simulated Outcome Probability
Utah Mammoth
48.1%
Montréal Canadiens
51.9%
No edge at N/A
No edge at N/A
Our 10,000 iterations project the Montréal Canadiens to win outright in 51.9% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: N/A
UTA covers
(-110)
+16.7% Edge
69.1%
MTL covers
(-110)
31.0%
Total
O/U:
OVER
(-110)
51.0%
UNDER
(-110)
49.0%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: UTA Karel Vejmelka (.893 projected SV%) vs MTL Jacob Fowler (.901 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: UTA dresses 3.23 goals/game of talent (led by Keller, Schmaltz, Cooley) | MTL dresses 2.92 goals/game of talent (led by Caufield, Hutson, Slafkovský).
- • 📐 Model Rates: UTA 3.08 vs MTL 3.16 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.2% of trials. Most common finals: 3-4 (6.3%), 3-2 (6.0%), 2-3 (5.9%).
- • 📭 No Market Yet: Graded against a standard -1.5 home puck line and 6.5 total until books post this game.
- • ❌ Injury: UTA - John Marino (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: UTA - Maveric Lamoureux (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: MTL - Nick Suzuki (C) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: MTL - Ivan Demidov (R) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: MTL - Mike Matheson (D) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Montréal Canadiens winning in 51.9% of trials. Projected score: UTA 3.23 - MTL 3.35.
Starting Goalies
Utah Mammoth
Karel Vejmelka
- Proj SV%
- .893
- Starts
- 49
- Shots Faced
- 1257
Montréal Canadiens
Jacob Fowler
- Proj SV%
- .901
- Starts
- 18
- Shots Faced
- 489
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
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Utah Mammoth
Montréal Canadiens
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Utah Mammoth
L
@ Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 6
|
Nov 01, 2026
W
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 3
|
Oct 29, 2026
L
vs Minnesota Wild
1 - 3
|
Oct 27, 2026
W
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
5 - 4
|
Oct 24, 2026
L
@ Seattle Kraken
3 - 5
|
Oct 22, 2026
Montréal Canadiens
W
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
5 - 4
|
Oct 31, 2026
W
@ Dallas Stars
5 - 2
|
Oct 29, 2026
W
@ St. Louis Blues
2 - 0
|
Oct 27, 2026
W
@ Winnipeg Jets
2 - 1
|
Oct 25, 2026
W
@ Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 1
|
Oct 23, 2026