NHL
Thursday, November 05 at 07:00 PM EST
10,000 Sim Trials Run
VGK
Vegas Golden Knights
Away
9-5-2
(3-2-2 Away)
Form
L
L
W
L
L
Projected Final Score
3.25
—
2.91
DET
Detroit Red Wings
Home
7-5-3
(4-4-1 Home)
Form
L
W
W
L
W
- Spread
-
VGK N/A (-110)DET N/A (-110)
- Total
-
Posted N/A (-110)Simulated 6.2
- Moneyline
-
VGK N/ADET N/A
Simulated Outcome Probability
Vegas Golden Knights
55.5%
Detroit Red Wings
44.5%
No edge at N/A
No edge at N/A
Our 10,000 iterations project the Vegas Golden Knights to win outright in 55.5% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: N/A
VGK covers
(-110)
33.5%
DET covers
(-110)
+14.1% Edge
66.5%
Total
O/U:
OVER
(-110)
43.9%
UNDER
(-110)
+3.7% Edge
56.1%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: VGK Carter Hart (.894 projected SV%) vs DET John Gibson (.894 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: VGK dresses 3.02 goals/game of talent (led by Eichel, Stone, Marner) | DET dresses 2.5 goals/game of talent (led by DeBrincat, Raymond, Arvidsson).
- • 📐 Model Rates: VGK 3.04 vs DET 2.73 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.1% of trials. Most common finals: 3-2 (6.8%), 2-3 (6.3%), 4-3 (6.0%).
- • 📭 No Market Yet: Graded against a standard +1.5 home puck line and 6.5 total until books post this game.
- • ❌ Injury: VGK - Parker Wotherspoon (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: DET - Marco Kasper (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: DET - Mason Appleton (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: DET - Albert Johansson (D) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Vegas Golden Knights winning in 55.5% of trials. Projected score: VGK 3.25 - DET 2.91.
Starting Goalies
Vegas Golden Knights
Carter Hart
- Proj SV%
- .894
- Starts
- 20
- Shots Faced
- 478
Detroit Red Wings
John Gibson
- Proj SV%
- .894
- Starts
- 44
- Shots Faced
- 1099
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Vegas Golden Knights
Detroit Red Wings
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Vegas Golden Knights
L
@ Boston Bruins
2 - 3
|
Nov 02, 2026
L
vs New Jersey Devils
2 - 5
|
Oct 30, 2026
W
vs Ottawa Senators
4 - 1
|
Oct 27, 2026
L
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
1 - 2
|
Oct 24, 2026
L
@ St. Louis Blues
2 - 6
|
Oct 22, 2026
Detroit Red Wings
W
@ Florida Panthers
5 - 3
|
Nov 02, 2026
L
vs St. Louis Blues
4 - 5
|
Oct 31, 2026
W
vs Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 1
|
Oct 29, 2026
W
@ Edmonton Oilers
4 - 3
|
Oct 26, 2026
L
@ Calgary Flames
1 - 4
|
Oct 24, 2026