NHL
Friday, November 06 at 07:00 PM EST
10,000 Sim Trials Run
CBJ
Columbus Blue Jackets
Away
7-7-0
(1-4-0 Away)
Form
W
L
L
W
W
Projected Final Score
2.92
—
3.48
BUF
Buffalo Sabres
Home
7-5-3
(3-4-0 Home)
Form
L
W
W
W
L
- Spread
-
CBJ +1.5 (-165)BUF -1.5 (+140)
- Total
-
Posted 6.5 (+100)Simulated 6.4
- Moneyline
-
CBJ +145BUF -175
Simulated Outcome Probability
Columbus Blue Jackets
40.9%
Buffalo Sabres
59.1%
+0.1% edge at +145
No edge at -175
Our 10,000 iterations project the Buffalo Sabres to win outright in 59.1% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: CBJ +1.5 / BUF -1.5
CBJ covers
(-165)
+1.3% Edge
63.6%
BUF covers
(+140)
36.4%
Total
O/U: 6.5
OVER
(+100)
47.4%
UNDER
(-120)
52.6%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: CBJ Jet Greaves (.899 projected SV%) vs BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.896 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: CBJ dresses 2.72 goals/game of talent (led by Werenski, Coyle, Knies) | BUF dresses 3.01 goals/game of talent (led by Thompson, Dahlin, Benson).
- • 📐 Model Rates: CBJ 2.85 vs BUF 3.25 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.0% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (6.9%), 3-4 (6.3%), 3-2 (5.7%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (BUF 60.9% no-vig, Over 6.5 47.8%).
- • ❌ Injury: BUF - Konsta Helenius (C) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: BUF - Matt Grzelcyk (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: BUF - Justin Danforth (R) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Buffalo Sabres winning in 59.1% of trials. Projected score: CBJ 2.92 - BUF 3.48. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
Columbus Blue Jackets
Jet Greaves
- Proj SV%
- .899
- Starts
- 39
- Shots Faced
- 1103
Buffalo Sabres
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
- Proj SV%
- .896
- Starts
- 29
- Shots Faced
- 819
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Columbus Blue Jackets
Buffalo Sabres
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Columbus Blue Jackets
W
vs Dallas Stars
2 - 1
|
Nov 05, 2026
W
vs Colorado Avalanche
7 - 2
|
Nov 03, 2026
L
@ Dallas Stars
1 - 3
|
Oct 31, 2026
L
@ Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 3
|
Oct 29, 2026
W
@ Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 3
|
Oct 27, 2026
Buffalo Sabres
L
vs Ottawa Senators
1 - 2
|
Nov 04, 2026
W
@ Los Angeles Kings
3 - 2
|
Oct 31, 2026
W
@ Anaheim Ducks
7 - 6
|
Oct 29, 2026
W
@ San Jose Sharks
2 - 0
|
Oct 27, 2026
L
@ Washington Capitals
3 - 4
|
Oct 24, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Columbus Blue Jackets defeated Buffalo Sabres
6 - 3
|
Oct 01, 2026