NHL
Friday, November 06 at 08:00 PM EST
10,000 Sim Trials Run
SJS
San Jose Sharks
Away
7-9-1
(4-4-1 Away)
Form
L
W
L
L
L
Projected Final Score
2.68
—
3.83
MIN
Minnesota Wild
Home
11-3-3
(4-0-1 Home)
Form
W
W
L
W
W
- Spread
-
SJS +1.5 (-105)MIN -1.5 (-115)
- Total
-
Posted 6.5 (-110)Simulated 6.5
- Moneyline
-
SJS +230MIN -280
Simulated Outcome Probability
San Jose Sharks
32.2%
Minnesota Wild
67.8%
+1.9% edge at +230
No edge at -280
Our 10,000 iterations project the Minnesota Wild to win outright in 67.8% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: SJS +1.5 / MIN -1.5
SJS covers
(-105)
+3.3% Edge
54.5%
MIN covers
(-115)
45.5%
Total
O/U: 6.5
OVER
(-110)
49.5%
UNDER
(-110)
50.5%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: SJS Yaroslav Askarov (.891 projected SV%) vs MIN Jesper Wallstedt (.904 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: SJS dresses 2.66 goals/game of talent (led by Celebrini, Smith, Toffoli) | MIN dresses 2.9 goals/game of talent (led by Kaprizov, Hughes, Boldy).
- • 📐 Model Rates: SJS 2.63 vs MIN 3.42 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 18.7% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (6.9%), 3-4 (6.2%), 2-4 (5.1%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (MIN 70.9% no-vig, Over 6.5 50.0%).
- • ❌ Injury: SJS - Alexander Wennberg (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: SJS - Igor Chernyshov (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: MIN - Brock Faber (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: MIN - Jared Spurgeon (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: MIN - Nick Foligno (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Minnesota Wild winning in 67.8% of trials. Projected score: SJS 2.68 - MIN 3.83. Value: SJS +1.5 puck line (-105), +3.3 pts.
Starting Goalies
San Jose Sharks
Yaroslav Askarov
- Proj SV%
- .891
- Starts
- 39
- Shots Faced
- 1124
Minnesota Wild
Jesper Wallstedt
- Proj SV%
- .904
- Starts
- 35
- Shots Faced
- 999
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
San Jose Sharks
Minnesota Wild
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
San Jose Sharks
L
@ Los Angeles Kings
2 - 7
|
Nov 04, 2026
L
vs Calgary Flames
1 - 2
|
Nov 02, 2026
L
vs Ottawa Senators
1 - 5
|
Oct 31, 2026
W
vs Vancouver Canucks
3 - 2
|
Oct 29, 2026
L
vs Buffalo Sabres
0 - 2
|
Oct 27, 2026
Minnesota Wild
W
@ Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 2
|
Nov 03, 2026
W
@ Washington Capitals
5 - 1
|
Nov 01, 2026
L
vs New York Islanders
3 - 4
|
Oct 29, 2026
W
@ Utah Mammoth
3 - 1
|
Oct 27, 2026
W
@ Vancouver Canucks
4 - 2
|
Oct 25, 2026