NBA
Friday, November 06 at 07:00 PM EST
10,000 Sim Trials Run
BOS
Boston Celtics
Away
6-2
(1-2 Away)
Form
W
W
W
L
W
Projected Final Score
108.3
—
101.2
CHA
Charlotte Hornets
Home
3-6
(2-3 Home)
Form
L
L
L
L
L
- Spread
-
BOS -10.5 (-110)CHA +10.5 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 208.0 (-110)Simulated 209.5
- Moneyline
-
BOS -425CHA +325
Simulated Outcome Probability
Boston Celtics
71.4%
Charlotte Hornets
28.6%
No edge at -425
+5.1% edge at +325
Our 10,000 iterations project the Boston Celtics to win outright in 71.4% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: BOS -10.5 / CHA +10.5
BOS covers
(-110)
39.5%
CHA covers
(-110)
+8.1% Edge
60.5%
Total
O/U: 208.0
OVER
(-110)
+0.4% Edge
52.8%
UNDER
(-110)
47.2%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Rotation Scoring: BOS rotation carries 108.3 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Tatum, George, White) | CHA rotation carries 109.2 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Miller, White, Allen).
- • 🛡️ Team Defense: BOS allows 107.3/game | CHA allows 110.9/game (blended with last season and regressed toward league average).
- • 📐 Model Line: CHA by 0.5, total 217.4 before the market blend, including 2.2 points of home court.
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 70% toward the posted spread and 85% toward the total (CHA +10.5, total 208.0).
- • ❌ Injury: BOS - Devin Carter is Out; his 15.7 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: CHA - Kon Knueppel is Out; his 30.2 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: CHA - Dennis Schroder is Out; his 25.7 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: CHA - Moussa Diabate is Out; his 23.5 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: CHA - Grant Williams is Out; his 20.8 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Boston Celtics winning in 71.4% of trials. Projected score: BOS 108 - CHA 101. Value: CHA moneyline (+325), +5.1 pts; CHA +10.5 (-110), +8.1 pts.
Top Players (Per Game)
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Boston Celtics
Charlotte Hornets
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Boston Celtics
W
vs Milwaukee Bucks
109 - 102
|
Nov 04, 2026
L
@ Houston Rockets
93 - 109
|
Nov 02, 2026
W
@ Orlando Magic
108 - 97
|
Nov 01, 2026
W
vs Chicago Bulls
125 - 111
|
Oct 30, 2026
W
vs Brooklyn Nets
125 - 124
|
Oct 27, 2026
Charlotte Hornets
L
@ Brooklyn Nets
104 - 114
|
Nov 04, 2026
L
vs Detroit Pistons
91 - 124
|
Nov 02, 2026
L
vs Philadelphia 76ers
104 - 109
|
Oct 31, 2026
L
@ Washington Wizards
79 - 95
|
Oct 30, 2026
L
@ Detroit Pistons
89 - 97
|
Oct 28, 2026