NHL
Sunday, November 08 at 01:00 PM EST
10,000 Sim Trials Run
FLA
Florida Panthers
Away
9-7-2
(5-5-2 Away)
Form
W
W
L
W
L
Projected Final Score
2.92
—
3.36
BOS
Boston Bruins
Home
13-4-1
(8-1-0 Home)
Form
L
L
W
W
W
- Spread
-
FLA +1.5 (-205)BOS -1.5 (+170)
- Total
-
Posted 6.0 (-105)Simulated 6.3
- Moneyline
-
FLA +125BOS -145
Simulated Outcome Probability
Florida Panthers
42.7%
Boston Bruins
57.3%
No edge at +125
No edge at -145
Our 10,000 iterations project the Boston Bruins to win outright in 57.3% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: FLA +1.5 / BOS -1.5
FLA covers
(-205)
65.4%
BOS covers
(+170)
34.6%
Total
O/U: 6.0
OVER
(-105)
+1.3% Edge
52.5%
UNDER
(-115)
47.5%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: FLA Jacob Markstrom (.891 projected SV%) vs BOS Jeremy Swayman (.901 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: FLA dresses 2.82 goals/game of talent (led by Tkachuk, Tkachuk, Reinhart) | BOS dresses 3.01 goals/game of talent (led by Pastrnak, McAvoy, Geekie).
- • 📐 Model Rates: FLA 2.82 vs BOS 3.28 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.4% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (6.7%), 3-2 (6.2%), 3-4 (6.2%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (BOS 57.1% no-vig, Over 6.0 48.9%).
- • ❌ Injury: FLA - Brad Marchand (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: FLA - Sandis Vilmanis (L) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: FLA - Jonah Gadjovich (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: BOS - James Hagens (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Boston Bruins winning in 57.3% of trials. Projected score: FLA 2.92 - BOS 3.36. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
Florida Panthers
Jacob Markstrom
- Proj SV%
- .891
- Starts
- 35
- Shots Faced
- 869
Boston Bruins
Jeremy Swayman
- Proj SV%
- .902
- Starts
- 45
- Shots Faced
- 1304
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Florida Panthers
Boston Bruins
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Florida Panthers
L
@ Washington Capitals
3 - 4
|
Nov 07, 2026
W
vs Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 3
|
Nov 04, 2026
L
vs Detroit Red Wings
3 - 5
|
Nov 02, 2026
W
vs Winnipeg Jets
5 - 2
|
Oct 30, 2026
W
@ Winnipeg Jets
5 - 1
|
Oct 27, 2026
Boston Bruins
W
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
6 - 2
|
Nov 05, 2026
W
vs Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 2
|
Nov 02, 2026
W
vs Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 4
|
Oct 31, 2026
L
@ St. Louis Blues
1 - 4
|
Oct 29, 2026
L
@ Carolina Hurricanes
1 - 2
|
Oct 27, 2026