NBA
Tuesday, November 10 at 08:00 PM EST
10,000 Sim Trials Run
BOS
Boston Celtics
Away
7-2
(2-2 Away)
Form
W
W
L
W
W
Projected Final Score
107.8
—
109.9
PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
Home
9-2
(4-1 Home)
Form
W
W
W
L
W
- Spread
-
BOS +0.5 (-110)PHI -0.5 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 215.5 (-110)Simulated 217.7
- Moneyline
-
BOS -105PHI -115
Simulated Outcome Probability
Boston Celtics
43.0%
Philadelphia 76ers
57.0%
No edge at -105
+3.5% edge at -115
Our 10,000 iterations project the Philadelphia 76ers to win outright in 57.0% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: BOS +0.5 / PHI -0.5
BOS covers
(-110)
43.0%
PHI covers
(-110)
+4.6% Edge
57.0%
Total
O/U: 215.5
OVER
(-110)
+2.4% Edge
54.8%
UNDER
(-110)
45.2%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Rotation Scoring: BOS rotation carries 110.8 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Tatum, George, White) | PHI rotation carries 132.9 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Maxey, Brown, Embiid).
- • 🛡️ Team Defense: BOS allows 106.8/game | PHI allows 114.6/game (blended with last season and regressed toward league average).
- • 📐 Model Line: PHI by 5.9, total 230.4 before the market blend, including 2.2 points of home court.
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 70% toward the posted spread and 85% toward the total (PHI -0.5, total 215.5).
- • ❌ Injury: PHI - Dominick Barlow is Out; his 20.8 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: PHI - Adem Bona is Out; his 16.3 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Philadelphia 76ers winning in 57.0% of trials. Projected score: BOS 108 - PHI 110. Value: PHI moneyline (-115), +3.5 pts; PHI -0.5 (-110), +4.6 pts.
Top Players (Per Game)
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Boston Celtics
Philadelphia 76ers
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Boston Celtics
W
@ Charlotte Hornets
119 - 80
|
Nov 06, 2026
W
vs Milwaukee Bucks
109 - 102
|
Nov 04, 2026
L
@ Houston Rockets
93 - 109
|
Nov 02, 2026
W
@ Orlando Magic
108 - 97
|
Nov 01, 2026
W
vs Chicago Bulls
125 - 111
|
Oct 30, 2026
Philadelphia 76ers
W
@ Chicago Bulls
127 - 121
|
Nov 08, 2026
L
@ Cleveland Cavaliers
95 - 119
|
Nov 06, 2026
W
@ Detroit Pistons
112 - 106
|
Nov 04, 2026
W
vs Chicago Bulls
126 - 107
|
Nov 02, 2026
W
@ Charlotte Hornets
109 - 104
|
Oct 31, 2026