NHL Tuesday, November 10 at 07:00 PM EST
10,000 Sim Trials Run
MIN

Minnesota Wild

Away 12-3-4 (7-3-2 Away)
L W W W L
Projected Final Score
3.07 — 3.49
MTL

Montréal Canadiens

Home 11-3-3 (5-2-2 Home)
W W L W W
Spread
MIN N/A (-110)
MTL N/A (-110)
Total
Posted N/A (-110)
Simulated 6.6
Moneyline
MIN N/A
MTL N/A

Simulated Outcome Probability

Minnesota Wild
43.7%
Montréal Canadiens
56.3%
No edge at N/A
No edge at N/A

Our 10,000 iterations project the Montréal Canadiens to win outright in 56.3% of simulated game-runs.

Simulator Cover Probability

Spread Line: N/A
MIN covers (-110) +12.4% Edge 64.8%
MTL covers (-110) 35.3%
Total O/U:
OVER (-110) 50.3%
UNDER (-110) 49.7%

Model Simulation Deciders

  • • 🥅 Goaltending: MIN Jesper Wallstedt (.904 projected SV%) vs MTL Jacob Fowler (.901 projected SV%).
  • • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: MIN dresses 2.99 goals/game of talent (led by Kaprizov, Hughes, Boldy) | MTL dresses 3.27 goals/game of talent (led by Suzuki, Caufield, Hutson).
  • • 📐 Model Rates: MIN 2.9 vs MTL 3.29 regulation goals before the market blend.
  • • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 19.3% of trials. Most common finals: 3-4 (6.0%), 2-3 (5.9%), 3-2 (5.8%).
  • • 📭 No Market Yet: Graded against a standard -1.5 home puck line and 6.5 total until books post this game.
  • • ❌ Injury: MIN - Brock Faber (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
  • • ❌ Injury: MIN - Jared Spurgeon (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
  • • ❌ Injury: MTL - Ivan Demidov (R) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
  • • ❌ Injury: MTL - Mike Matheson (D) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.

VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the Montréal Canadiens winning in 56.3% of trials. Projected score: MIN 3.07 - MTL 3.49.

Starting Goalies

Minnesota Wild

Jesper Wallstedt

Proj SV%
.904
Starts
36
Shots Faced
1023
Montréal Canadiens

Jacob Fowler

Proj SV%
.901
Starts
20
Shots Faced
564

Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.

Top Skaters (Per Game)

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Minnesota Wild

Montréal Canadiens

Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)

Minnesota Wild

L vs Tampa Bay Lightning
3 - 4 | Nov 07, 2026
W vs San Jose Sharks
4 - 1 | Nov 06, 2026
W @ Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 2 | Nov 03, 2026
W @ Washington Capitals
5 - 1 | Nov 01, 2026
L vs New York Islanders
3 - 4 | Oct 29, 2026

Montréal Canadiens

W @ Toronto Maple Leafs
4 - 2 | Nov 07, 2026
W vs Utah Mammoth
5 - 4 | Nov 05, 2026
L vs Winnipeg Jets
4 - 5 | Nov 03, 2026
W vs Pittsburgh Penguins
5 - 4 | Oct 31, 2026
W @ Dallas Stars
5 - 2 | Oct 29, 2026